September 2012 Client Letter

Few would accuse Sweden of being a free-market utopia. Not with a top marginal rate of 57% for personal income tax and government spending equal to 56% of GDP. However, during the last two decades, Sweden cut its public debt to 33% of GDP from a high of nearly 80%. Last year, Sweden eliminated its deficit. And for good measure, the Prime Minister, Fredrik Reinfeldt, recently announced his intention to cut the corporate tax rate from 26.3% to 22% (The U.S. corporate tax rate is 35%).

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July 2012 Client Letter

One lesson reaffirmed to us from the dot-com bust is this: Prudent investors do not rely solely on capital appreciation for stock market gains. During the latter part of the 1990s many investors overloaded on technology and growth-oriented shares. When the collapse hit, they were not only left with a decimated portfolio, but one that produced little annual income.

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May 2012 Client Letter

As a trustee for the City of Naples Firefighter Pension Fund, I am particularly interested in observing how government retirement benefits are disrupting state and municipal finances. Across the country, state and local governments have accumulated trillions of dollars in unfunded retirement promises. To fund these costs, expect taxes to rise, services to be reduced, or a combination of both.

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April 2012 Client Letter

What should stock market investors expect for the rest of the year? While we cannot predict the future, we continue to see a generally pleasing environment for stocks in 2012. Ultra-low interest rates on treasury bonds offer little competition for stocks, which have the powerful tailwind of election-year fiscal and monetary stimulus working in their favor.

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March 2012 Client Letter

Monetary policy has been one of the most influential forces in financial markets over recent years. The Fed has shifted policy from the conventional (changing the fed funds rate) to the unconventional (money printing and communications). Unconventional policy maneuvers have proven to be a potent force in financial markets. This is especially true for the bond market, where Fed action has the most immediate and direct impact.

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