Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. is a Naples, FL and Newport, RI based financial advisory firm. We have been ranked by Barron’s as one of the top independent financial advisors in the nation for the last eight consecutive years. We manage portfolios for individuals, families, and small businesses throughout the United States.
One lesson reaffirmed to us from the dot-com bust is this: Prudent investors do not rely solely on capital appreciation for stock market gains. During the latter part of the 1990s many investors overloaded on technology and growth-oriented shares. When the collapse hit, they were not only left with a decimated portfolio, but one that produced little annual income.
As a trustee for the City of Naples Firefighter Pension Fund, I am particularly interested in observing how government retirement benefits are disrupting state and municipal finances. Across the country, state and local governments have accumulated trillions of dollars in unfunded retirement promises. To fund these costs, expect taxes to rise, services to be reduced, or a combination of both.
What should stock market investors expect for the rest of the year? While we cannot predict the future, we continue to see a generally pleasing environment for stocks in 2012. Ultra-low interest rates on treasury bonds offer little competition for stocks, which have the powerful tailwind of election-year fiscal and monetary stimulus working in their favor.
Monetary policy has been one of the most influential forces in financial markets over recent years. The Fed has shifted policy from the conventional (changing the fed funds rate) to the unconventional (money printing and communications). Unconventional policy maneuvers have proven to be a potent force in financial markets. This is especially true for the bond market, where Fed action has the most immediate and direct impact.
Last year was an unpleasant year in global equity markets. Modest gains in the S&P 500 (+2%) masked steep declines in most equity markets throughout the world. Of the 23 developed equity markets, only two were up in 2011—the U.S. and New Zealand. Of the 21 markets that fell, 17 were down double digits, with a handful of those down more than 20%. Emerging equity markets fared even worse. Of the 25 emerging equity markets that Young Research tracks, only three finished the year in positive territory. Close to half of the world’s emerging stock markets fell more than 20% in 2011.
NAPLES, FL
5150 Tamiami Trail North, Suite 400
Naples, FL 34103
Phone: (888) 456-5444 Fax: (239) 213-0770
NEWPORT, RI
98 William Street
Newport, RI 02840
Phone: (800) 843-7273 Fax: (401) 849-0002
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